Since reaching record-highs against the British Pound and Euro in April, the USD has pulled back slightly, due in part to the perception that the US economy is back in track. Last quarter’s round of GDP and housing data revealed that by some measures, the US economy was expanding at the slowest pace in years. However, that notion was contradicted by last week’s release of
employment, retail, and manufacturing data, all of which exceeded analysts’ expectations. As a result, some economists have reversed their positions on the near-term outlook for US monetary policy, by switching their predictions from rate cut to rate hike. The Tapei Times reports:“Against a backdrop of stubborn inflation and tight labor markets, our analysis going forward will be more focused on the timing of rate hikes, not cuts.”
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